POLLS TOUTING TURNBULL RAISE QUESTIONS

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Nov. 4, 2002 – According to the findings of two public opinion polls published over the weekend by The Avis, Gov. Charles W. Turnbull will come out ahead in Tuesday's general election and avoid a runoff by capturing a majority of the votes cast.
But the methodologies of the surveys are open to question, and in one case the polltaker, a government employee, isn't answering.
An article in the Saturday issue of The Avis said Rattan Polling Service, "a firm with over a decade of political prognosticating experience on the big island," released figures projecting "blowout victories" for incumbents Turnbull, Delegate Donna M. Christensen and at-large Sen. Almando "Rocky" Liburd.
The article did not mention that Rattan Polling Service is owned by Raymond James, special assistant to the commissioner of Housing Parks and Recreation. James is being paid $60,000 a year — up from $50,000 since Turnbull last summer granted more than $8.5 million in retroactive pay hikes to unclassified government employees.
The Avis did not indicate what type of poll was conducted — such as telephone, written questionnaire, door-to-door, show-of-hands, online, etc. — or how many persons were queried. And James told the Source he would not answer any questions about it.
The survey apparently was only of people on St. Croix, however. The Avis quoted an unnamed spokesperson for Rattan as saying the poll was of persons "from all walks of life and from all parts of the island," singular.
According to James, the Rattan poll was conducted over the last two weeks of October. He described it as an independent survey that has been taken at election time over the last 10 years.
However, officials at the Lieutenant Governor's Office said Rattan Polling Service is not a registered or licensed V.I. business. "It's just a public service kind of thing," James said.
Based on the results of its survey of about 200 people, Rattan projected that Turnbull and running mate Vargrave Richards will sweep the polls. The Avis article said the poll found 41 percent of the respondents support the Turnbull team, compared with14 percent for John de Jongh, 11 percent for Gerard Luz James II, 7 percent for Alicia "Chucky" Hansen, 6 percent for Michael Bornn and 4 percent for Cora Christian.
James claimed that the poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 5 to 7 percent, meaning it could be expected to be off by that much in either direction. That margin of error would depend on the methodology used in selecting the sample and carrying out the survey plus any demographic adjusting of the data, as well as the number of persons surveyed.
The other poll results, reported by The Avis in its Sunday-Monday issue, are from a series of three telephone surveys conducted by John Boyd, a former University of the Virgin Islands accounting and finance professor. Boyd also pegged Turnbull as the winner; however, his surveys found support for Turnbull gaining on St. Thomas but slipping on St. Croix over a three-month period.
Boyd said he conducted telephone polls in August, September and October on St. Thomas, St. Croix and St. John, each time querying 300 residents selected at random from the phone book. Businesses and any respondents who said they were undecided or would not vote were excluded from the poll results, he said.
Over the three-month period, he said, support for Turnbull jumped on St. Thomas from 54 percent in August to 68 percent in October, while it slipped on St. Croix from 44 percent in August to 36 percent last month.
The margin of error for any of the three single polls, Boyd said, is about plus or minus 7 percent. But he claimed that the margin goes down considerably when the polls are combined. "That margin drops to about 3 percent considering the island-wide results," he said.
However, according to public opinion research experts, because of the three separate time frames, it is statistically possible that a significant number of the initial respondents could have changed their views subsequently because of events occurring in the intervening periods. Also, in order to attain a 3 percent margin of error with random sampling, about 1,600 persons must be surveyed. In addition, excluding any respondents who said they were undecided would give a skewed measure of the public pulse, as the ultimate decisions of a significant number of "undecideds" can determine the outcome of an election.
Boyd said the discrepancy between his survey findings and those of Rattan could be wavering support for Hansen. "It wasn't so much margin of error as it was timing, with Chucky rising and falling so much," he said.
In the last gubernatorial election, Turnbull funded Boyd's election survey. But this time, Boyd, who described himself as a Republican, said he chose to conduct the poll on his own.

Jean Etsinger contributed to this report.
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POLLS TOUTING TURNBULL RAISE QUESTIONS

0
Nov. 4, 2002 – According to the findings of two public opinion polls published over the weekend by The Avis, Gov. Charles W. Turnbull will come out ahead in Tuesday's general election and avoid a runoff by capturing a majority of the votes cast.
But the methodologies of the surveys are open to question, and in one case the polltaker, a government employee, isn't answering.
An article in the Saturday issue of The Avis said Rattan Polling Service, "a firm with over a decade of political prognosticating experience on the big island," released figures projecting "blowout victories" for incumbents Turnbull, Delegate Donna M. Christensen and at-large Sen. Almando "Rocky" Liburd.
The article did not mention that Rattan Polling Service is owned by Raymond James, special assistant to the commissioner of Housing Parks and Recreation. James is being paid $60,000 a year — up from $50,000 since Turnbull last summer granted more than $8.5 million in retroactive pay hikes to unclassified government employees.
The Avis did not indicate what type of poll was conducted — such as telephone, written questionnaire, door-to-door, show-of-hands, online, etc. — or how many persons were queried. And James told the Source he would not answer any questions about it.
The survey apparently was only of people on St. Croix, however. The Avis quoted an unnamed spokesperson for Rattan as saying the poll was of persons "from all walks of life and from all parts of the island," singular.
According to James, the Rattan poll was conducted over the last two weeks of October. He described it as an independent survey that has been taken at election time over the last 10 years.
However, officials at the Lieutenant Governor's Office said Rattan Polling Service is not a registered or licensed V.I. business. "It's just a public service kind of thing," James said.
Based on the results of its survey of about 200 people, Rattan projected that Turnbull and running mate Vargrave Richards will sweep the polls. The Avis article said the poll found 41 percent of the respondents support the Turnbull team, compared with14 percent for John de Jongh, 11 percent for Gerard Luz James II, 7 percent for Alicia "Chucky" Hansen, 6 percent for Michael Bornn and 4 percent for Cora Christian.
James claimed that the poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 5 to 7 percent, meaning it could be expected to be off by that much in either direction. That margin of error would depend on the methodology used in selecting the sample and carrying out the survey plus any demographic adjusting of the data, as well as the number of persons surveyed.
The other poll results, reported by The Avis in its Sunday-Monday issue, are from a series of three telephone surveys conducted by John Boyd, a former University of the Virgin Islands accounting and finance professor. Boyd also pegged Turnbull as the winner; however, his surveys found support for Turnbull gaining on St. Thomas but slipping on St. Croix over a three-month period.
Boyd said he conducted telephone polls in August, September and October on St. Thomas, St. Croix and St. John, each time querying 300 residents selected at random from the phone book. Businesses and any respondents who said they were undecided or would not vote were excluded from the poll results, he said.
Over the three-month period, he said, support for Turnbull jumped on St. Thomas from 54 percent in August to 68 percent in October, while it slipped on St. Croix from 44 percent in August to 36 percent last month.
The margin of error for any of the three single polls, Boyd said, is about plus or minus 7 percent. But he claimed that the margin goes down considerably when the polls are combined. "That margin drops to about 3 percent considering the island-wide results," he said.
However, according to public opinion research experts, because of the three separate time frames, it is statistically possible that a significant number of the initial respondents could have changed their views subsequently because of events occurring in the intervening periods. Also, in order to attain a 3 percent margin of error with random sampling, about 1,600 persons must be surveyed. In addition, excluding any respondents who said they were undecided would give a skewed measure of the public pulse, as the ultimate decisions of a significant number of "undecideds" can determine the outcome of an election.
Boyd said the discrepancy between his survey findings and those of Rattan could be wavering support for Hansen. "It wasn't so much margin of error as it was timing, with Chucky rising and falling so much," he said.
In the last gubernatorial election, Turnbull funded Boyd's election survey. But this time, Boyd, who described himself as a Republican, said he chose to conduct the poll on his own.

Jean Etsinger contributed to this report.
Publisher's note : Like the St. John Source now? Find out how you can love us twice as much — and show your support for the islands' free and independent news voice … click here.

POLLS TOUTING TURNBULL RAISE QUESTIONS

0
Nov. 4, 2002 – According to the findings of two public opinion polls published over the weekend by The Avis, Gov. Charles W. Turnbull will come out ahead in Tuesday's general election and avoid a runoff by capturing a majority of the votes cast.
But the methodologies of the surveys are open to question, and in one case the polltaker, a government employee, isn't answering.
An article in the Saturday issue of The Avis said Rattan Polling Service, "a firm with over a decade of political prognosticating experience on the big island," released figures projecting "blowout victories" for incumbents Turnbull, Delegate Donna M. Christensen and at-large Sen. Almando "Rocky" Liburd.
The article did not mention that Rattan Polling Service is owned by Raymond James, special assistant to the commissioner of Housing Parks and Recreation. James is being paid $60,000 a year — up from $50,000 since Turnbull last summer granted more than $8.5 million in retroactive pay hikes to unclassified government employees.
The Avis did not indicate what type of poll was conducted — such as telephone, written questionnaire, door-to-door, show-of-hands, online, etc. — or how many persons were queried. And James told the Source he would not answer any questions about it.
The survey apparently was only of people on St. Croix, however. The Avis quoted an unnamed spokesperson for Rattan as saying the poll was of persons "from all walks of life and from all parts of the island," singular.
According to James, the Rattan poll was conducted over the last two weeks of October. He described it as an independent survey that has been taken at election time over the last 10 years.
However, officials at the Lieutenant Governor's Office said Rattan Polling Service is not a registered or licensed V.I. business. "It's just a public service kind of thing," James said.
Based on the results of its survey of about 200 people, Rattan projected that Turnbull and running mate Vargrave Richards will sweep the polls. The Avis article said the poll found 41 percent of the respondents support the Turnbull team, compared with14 percent for John de Jongh, 11 percent for Gerard Luz James II, 7 percent for Alicia "Chucky" Hansen, 6 percent for Michael Bornn and 4 percent for Cora Christian.
James claimed that the poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 5 to 7 percent, meaning it could be expected to be off by that much in either direction. That margin of error would depend on the methodology used in selecting the sample and carrying out the survey plus any demographic adjusting of the data, as well as the number of persons surveyed.
The other poll results, reported by The Avis in its Sunday-Monday issue, are from a series of three telephone surveys conducted by John Boyd, a former University of the Virgin Islands accounting and finance professor. Boyd also pegged Turnbull as the winner; however, his surveys found support for Turnbull gaining on St. Thomas but slipping on St. Croix over a three-month period.
Boyd said he conducted telephone polls in August, September and October on St. Thomas, St. Croix and St. John, each time querying 300 residents selected at random from the phone book. Businesses and any respondents who said they were undecided or would not vote were excluded from the poll results, he said.
Over the three-month period, he said, support for Turnbull jumped on St. Thomas from 54 percent in August to 68 percent in October, while it slipped on St. Croix from 44 percent in August to 36 percent last month.
The margin of error for any of the three single polls, Boyd said, is about plus or minus 7 percent. But he claimed that the margin goes down considerably when the polls are combined. "That margin drops to about 3 percent considering the island-wide results," he said.
However, according to public opinion research experts, because of the three separate time frames, it is statistically possible that a significant number of the initial respondents could have changed their views subsequently because of events occurring in the intervening periods. Also, in order to attain a 3 percent margin of error with random sampling, about 1,600 persons must be surveyed. In addition, excluding any respondents who said they were undecided would give a skewed measure of the public pulse, as the ultimate decisions of a significant number of "undecideds" can determine the outcome of an election.
Boyd said the discrepancy between his survey findings and those of Rattan could be wavering support for Hansen. "It wasn't so much margin of error as it was timing, with Chucky rising and falling so much," he said.
In the last gubernatorial election, Turnbull funded Boyd's election survey. But this time, Boyd, who described himself as a Republican, said he chose to conduct the poll on his own.

Jean Etsinger contributed to this report.
Publisher's note : Like the St. Thomas Source now? Find out how you can love us twice as much — and show your support for the islands' free and independent news voice … click here.

UVI BULLETIN BOARD

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Nov. 4, 2002 — The University of the Virgin Islands Bulletin Board issued today includes:

Spring 2003 Semester Advisement and Registration
Advisement and registration for UVI's spring 2003 semester is being conducted from Monday, Nov. 4, through Wednesday, Nov. 13.
Spring 2003 class schedules may be accessed via UVI web pages at:
— St. Croix – cac.uvi.edu/sched/sp2003/cindex.html
— St. Thomas – cac.uvi.edu/sched/sp2003/tindex.html.
For more information, on St. Thomas call 693-1160 or on St. Croix 692-4158.
SBDC Offers St. Thomas Seminar on Starting a Business in the Virgin Islands
UVI's Small Business Development Center (SBDC) will offer a seminar entitled "Checklist for Starting A Business in the Virgin Islands" at 6:30 p.m. on Thursday, Nov. 7, at the SBDC Training Facility at Nisky Center on St. Thomas. Admission is $20. A $5 discount is available for those who pre-register by 3 p.m. Wednesday.
Admission for UVI faculty, staff and students is free. They must, however, pre-register. In addition, during the month of November veterans of U.S. armed forces can attend SBDC seminars at no cost. They must pre-register and show proof of their status as veterans.
For more information or to pre-register call 776-3206.
English Proficiency Exam Set Nov. 14, Sign-up Deadline Nov. 8
The UVI Enrollment Management Office has scheduled an English Proficiency Examination for 8:30 a.m. on Nov. 14 on both campuses.
On St. Thomas, individuals interested in taking the exam must register at the Enrollment Management Office on the second floor of the CA Building on UVI's St. Thomas campus. No walk-ins will be allowed. For more information contact Lornetta Prince at 693-1152.
On St. Croix, those wishing to take the exam must register at the Academic Services Office in the Evans Center 811 by Nov. 8. The test will be administered on St. Croix in EC rooms 303 and EC 308. For information contact Francisca Barry at 692-4103
UVI Little Theatre to Present "The Dancing Mice"
The UVI Little Theatre will present "The Dancing Mice," a play by Pulitzer Prize winning author John Patrick, as its fall 2002 production. The UVI Little Theatre is located on the second floor of the CA building on the St. Thomas Campus.
The play will run two weekends this month, Nov. 15, 16, and 17, and Nov. 22, 23 and 24. Show time is 8 p.m. Tickets are $5 for students and $10 for adults. They are available at the Humanities Building and UVI Bookstore on the St. Thomas campus, and at Nisky Pharmacy and Dockside Bookstore. For more information contact Dr. Rosary Harper at 693-1354.
For more on the University of the Virgin Islands, visit the website at www.uvi.edu.
Publisher's note : Like the St. Croix Source now? Find out how you can love us twice as much — and show your support for the islands' free and independent news voice … click here.

UVI BULLETIN BOARD

0
Nov. 4, 2002 — The University of the Virgin Islands Bulletin Board issued today includes:

Spring 2003 Semester Advisement and Registration
Advisement and registration for UVI's spring 2003 semester is being conducted from Monday, Nov. 4, through Wednesday, Nov. 13.
Spring 2003 class schedules may be accessed via UVI web pages at:
— St. Croix – cac.uvi.edu/sched/sp2003/cindex.html
— St. Thomas – cac.uvi.edu/sched/sp2003/tindex.html.
For more information, on St. Thomas call 693-1160 or on St. Croix 692-4158.
SBDC Offers Seminar on Starting a Business in the Virgin Islands
UVI's Small Business Development Center (SBDC) will offer a seminar entitled "Checklist for Starting A Business in the Virgin Islands" at 6:30 p.m. on Thursday, Nov. 7, at the SBDC Training Facility at Nisky Center on St. Thomas. Admission is $20. A $5 discount is available for those who pre-register by 3 p.m. Wednesday.
Admission for UVI faculty, staff and students is free. They must, however, pre-register. In addition, during the month of November veterans of U.S. armed forces can attend SBDC seminars at no cost. They must pre-register and show proof of their status as veterans.
For more information or to pre-register call 776-3206.
English Proficiency Exam Set Nov. 14, Sign-up Deadline Nov. 8
The UVI Enrollment Management Office has scheduled an English Proficiency Examination for 8:30 a.m. on Nov. 14 on both campuses.
On St. Thomas, individuals interested in taking the exam must register at the Enrollment Management Office on the second floor of the CA Building on UVI's St. Thomas campus. No walk-ins will be allowed. For more information contact Lornetta Prince at 693-1152.
On St. Croix, those wishing to take the exam must register at the Academic Services Office in the Evans Center 811 by Nov. 8. The test will be administered on St. Croix in EC rooms 303 and EC 308. For information contact Francisca Barry at 692-4103
UVI Little Theatre to Present "The Dancing Mice"
The UVI Little Theatre will present "The Dancing Mice," a play by Pulitzer Prize winning author John Patrick, as its fall 2002 production. The UVI Little Theatre is located on the second floor of the CA building on the St. Thomas Campus.
The play will run two weekends this month, Nov. 15, 16, and 17, and Nov. 22, 23 and 24. Show time is 8 p.m. Tickets are $5 for students and $10 for adults. They are available at the Humanities Building and UVI Bookstore on the St. Thomas campus, and at Nisky Pharmacy and Dockside Bookstore. For more information contact Dr. Rosary Harper at 693-1354.
For more on the University of the Virgin Islands, visit the website at www.uvi.edu.
Publisher's note : Like the St. John Source now? Find out how you can love us twice as much — and show your support for the islands' free and independent news voice … click here.

UVI BULLETIN BOARD

0
Nov. 4, 2002 — The University of the Virgin Islands Bulletin Board issued today includes:

Spring 2003 Semester Advisement and Registration
Advisement and registration for UVI's spring 2003 semester is being conducted from Monday, Nov. 4, through Wednesday, Nov. 13.
Spring 2003 class schedules may be accessed via UVI web pages at:
— St. Croix – cac.uvi.edu/sched/sp2003/cindex.html
— St. Thomas – cac.uvi.edu/sched/sp2003/tindex.html.
For more information, on St. Thomas call 693-1160 or on St. Croix 692-4158.
SBDC Offers Seminar on Starting a Business in the Virgin Islands
UVI's Small Business Development Center (SBDC) will offer a seminar entitled "Checklist for Starting A Business in the Virgin Islands" at 6:30 p.m. on Thursday, Nov. 7, at the SBDC Training Facility at Nisky Center on St. Thomas. Admission is $20. A $5 discount is available for those who pre-register by 3 p.m. Wednesday.
Admission for UVI faculty, staff and students is free. They must, however, pre-register. In addition, during the month of November veterans of U.S. armed forces can attend SBDC seminars at no cost. They must pre-register and show proof of their status as veterans.
For more information or to pre-register call 776-3206.
English Proficiency Exam Set Nov. 14, Sign-up Deadline Nov. 8
The UVI Enrollment Management Office has scheduled an English Proficiency Examination for 8:30 a.m. on Nov. 14 on both campuses.
On St. Thomas, individuals interested in taking the exam must register at the Enrollment Management Office on the second floor of the CA Building on UVI's St. Thomas campus. No walk-ins will be allowed. For more information contact Lornetta Prince at 693-1152.
On St. Croix, those wishing to take the exam must register at the Academic Services Office in the Evans Center 811 by Nov. 8. The test will be administered on St. Croix in EC rooms 303 and EC 308. For information contact Francisca Barry at 692-4103
UVI Little Theatre to Present "The Dancing Mice"
The UVI Little Theatre will present "The Dancing Mice," a play by Pulitzer Prize winning author John Patrick, as its fall 2002 production. The UVI Little Theatre is located on the second floor of the CA building on the St. Thomas Campus.
The play will run two weekends this month, Nov. 15, 16, and 17, and Nov. 22, 23 and 24. Show time is 8 p.m. Tickets are $5 for students and $10 for adults. They are available at the Humanities Building and UVI Bookstore on the St. Thomas campus, and at Nisky Pharmacy and Dockside Bookstore. For more information contact Dr. Rosary Harper at 693-1354.
For more on the University of the Virgin Islands, visit the website at www.uvi.edu.
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ISLAND BLOCK HAS GONE OUT OF BUSINESS

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Nov. 4, 2002 – After months of rumors that Island Block would go out of business, the store finally closed its doors. On Thursday, the gate was closed and the door was locked.
Manager Harry Bowman, reached a month earlier at the store, had declined to comment on reports of the pending closing. Another staff member, reached Friday, also declined comment.
A resident close to the situation blamed the closing on a downturn in St. Thomas construction.
One St. John construction worker recalled the old days at Island Block when he gave his order at the counter and the staff searched around on the shelves to find the correct part. Those days were long gone, with the business adopting self service like most other stores.
"They had a good selection, but the prices weren't good," the construction worker said. He said he had seldom taken his business there lately because for him other stores fill the bill.

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WHEN WILL THE JUSTICE SYSTEM DO JUSTICE?

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Dear Source,
When will the justice system do justice?
I am referring to the homicide case of the 69-year-old tourist from California who was murdered in 1994 by two male teenagers on St. Thomas. The police did their job by identifying and arresting the perpetrators and turning them over to the Justice Department.
The Justice Department submitted the case to the judicial branch of government. The younger of the two teenagers, the one that allegedly pulled the trigger, served a short sentence in a local juvenile center and was released. The older of two is still awaiting the disposition by the court and so is the family of the murdered victim, particularly his son.
This appears to be another case where justice delayed is not only justice denied, but it is extending the suffering of the victim's family and leaving the young suspect's life dangling while the legal system continues to play some kind of legal game. Is this the way the system is supposed to function? Is there no sensitivity for the victim's family, to provide some sort of closure, and for the life of the young man accused of the crime, that he may organize his life? When are the persons responsible for our justice system going to become sensitive to the need for closure in this case by all persons affected by the case delay?
It is little wonder that many in our society are losing faith in our criminal justice system.
Maybe we — the citizens — should take a closer look of the persons responsible for the bottlenecks and other unwarranted delays in the system. Maybe we ought to pressure our elected representatives to investigate the reasons for the dissatisfaction with our judicial system and seek ways to correct the deficiencies and improve it overall. It is dangerous when citizens lose confidence or faith in their own criminal system.
It is my hope that the persons responsible for the delay in bringing a just closure to the Murray Callan case, and all others similarly delayed, would make some efforts to expedite the cases and provide justice for all concerned persons.
J.J. Estemac
St. Thomas
We welcome and encourage readers to keep the dialogue going by responding to Source commentary. Letters should be e-mailed with name and place of residence to source@viaccess.net.
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ART THURSDAY WALKABOUTS RESUME THIS WEEK

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Nov. 4, 2002 – The second season of monthly ArtThursday walk-abouts in downtown Christiansted takes place this week, with seven galleries and crafts emporia keeping their doors open until 9 p.m. to welcome the public to peruse their creative offerings.
The participating business and the work they will be featuring:
– Christiansted Gallery — new work by Nancy Pistillis and giclees prints of paintings by Marjorie Robbins.
Danica Art Gallery — work by Danica David and Rosine Smith.
Gallery Gia — celebrating one year in operation.
i.b. Designs — a gala reopening showcasing owner Whealan Massicott's latest jewelry creations.
Iona Skye Gallery — watercolors by Chester Delacruz.
Jewelweed — assorted new, unusual jewelry designs.
Maria Henle Studio — paintings, both new and in progress.
ArtThursday hours are 5 to 9 p.m. Most participating businesses offer wine and nibblies to patrons. But you may work up an appetite making the rounds nonetheless. To integrate the culinary arts into the evening's experience, eight in-town Christiansted restaurants — Bacchus, Bombay Club, Kendrick's, Indies, Rum Runners, Savant, Top Hat and Tutto Bene — are offering wine and dessert specials that night.
For additional information, call the Henle studio at 773-7376.

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PRESERVATION COMMISSION TO MEET

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The monthly meeting of the St. Thomas/St. John Historic Preservation Commission will be held in the State Historical Preservation Office at #17 Kongens Gade. For more information contact the Historic Preservation Office at 776-8605.